Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOGE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-27 0.094389 0.109608 0.126384 0.146231 0.169055 0.194466 0.224891
2024-11-03 0.072830 0.093545 0.118627 0.151166 0.192195 0.242141 0.307494
2024-11-10 0.060556 0.084269 0.115198 0.158340 0.216794 0.293059 0.399923
2024-11-17 0.051035 0.075963 0.110565 0.161836 0.235568 0.337415 0.488372
2024-11-24 0.043279 0.068333 0.105057 0.162407 0.249250 0.375258 0.571264
2024-12-01 0.037034 0.061670 0.099591 0.161668 0.260099 0.409309 0.651548
2024-12-08 0.031826 0.055664 0.094043 0.159643 0.268125 0.439248 0.728052
2024-12-15 0.028960 0.052963 0.093219 0.164770 0.287668 0.488590 0.839687
2024-12-22 0.026435 0.050418 0.092209 0.169254 0.306349 0.538059 0.956228
2024-12-29 0.024446 0.048501 0.091950 0.174840 0.327284 0.593029 1.087202
2025-01-05 0.022727 0.046813 0.091828 0.180530 0.348821 0.650861 1.228553
2025-01-12 0.019960 0.042690 0.086644 0.176102 0.351173 0.674603 1.310703
2025-01-19 0.017491 0.038856 0.081617 0.171518 0.353011 0.698141 1.396073
2025-01-26 0.016215 0.037325 0.080950 0.175489 0.371934 0.755648 1.551840
2025-02-02 0.015428 0.036728 0.082102 0.183278 0.399303 0.832014 1.751796
2025-02-09 0.014369 0.035367 0.081458 0.187169 0.418995 0.894979 1.930962
2025-02-16 0.013162 0.033485 0.079434 0.187791 0.431759 0.944984 2.088243
2025-02-23 0.011983 0.031489 0.076897 0.186931 0.441135 0.988709 2.236352
2025-03-02 0.010837 0.029406 0.073887 0.184600 0.446908 1.025186 2.372202
2025-03-09 0.010317 0.028832 0.074362 0.190495 0.472058 1.106035 2.612755
2025-03-16 0.009793 0.028166 0.074528 0.195648 0.495983 1.186287 2.859247
2025-03-23 0.009373 0.027723 0.075185 0.202069 0.523564 1.277221 3.138202
2025-03-30 0.008985 0.027307 0.075860 0.208608 0.552097 1.372880 3.436710